Australia
Australia (AU)CRITICALOceania · pop. 26,640,000 · GDP 1,687,717 M USD
Why this score? · top 3 of 20 events driving the 30-day risk
Major industries
Major exports
30d events
AI Brief
Multiple critical security incidents across Australia's east coast coincided with widespread wildfire activity on April 19, threatening key mining and export corridors. The concentration of events in New South Wales and Victoria puts iron ore and coal supply chains at immediate risk.
Current status
Australia faces an unprecedented security crisis with 500 events recorded over the past 30 days, including 248 critical-severity incidents involving military force deployment, blockades, and economic sanctions across multiple states. The situation represents a dramatic departure from Australia's historically stable risk profile, with conventional military operations reported in Queensland, Tasmania, and Northern Territory, plus blockades in New South Wales and economic restrictions in Western Australia.
Supply chain impact
- Iron ore and coal exports from Western Australia face immediate disruption due to economic blockades, threatening steel production in China, Japan, and South Korea which rely on Australian supplies for 60% of global iron ore trade.
- Port operations in New South Wales, including the critical Port Botany and Port Kembla facilities, are severely compromised by ongoing blockades, affecting container shipping routes to Asia-Pacific markets and LNG exports.
- Lithium mining operations across multiple states are at risk, potentially constraining global battery supply chains for electric vehicles and energy storage systems, particularly impacting Tesla, CATL, and other major battery manufacturers.
- Agricultural commodity flows including wheat, beef, and dairy products face transportation bottlenecks as interstate logistics networks become unreliable due to military operations in Queensland and Northern Territory.
- Aviation cargo routes through major hubs like Sydney and Melbourne may experience delays or cancellations, affecting time-sensitive shipments of pharmaceuticals, electronics, and perishables across the Pacific region.
Watch points
- Monitor Port Hedland and Dampier port operations in Western Australia for iron ore loading disruptions, as any extended closure would trigger global steel price volatility within 2-3 weeks.
- Track interstate rail and highway closures between mining regions and ports, particularly the iron ore rail lines in the Pilbara and coal transport corridors from Hunter Valley to Newcastle.
- Watch for escalation to Australia's LNG export terminals at Gorgon, Wheatstone, and Ichthys, which supply 20% of global LNG and serve as critical energy sources for Japan and South Korea.
Frequently asked questions
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Risk by layer
90d risk trend
Structural risk profile
Produced commodities
Dependent chokepoints
Recent events (20)
- HIGHArrest/detain in New South Wales, Australia2026-06-02
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in New South Wales, Australia2026-06-01
- HIGHArrest/detain in New South Wales, Australia2026-06-01
- HIGHMilitary force (coercive) in Victoria, Australia2026-05-31
- CRITICALActive wildfire cluster in AU (2309 detections)2026-05-31
- HIGHArrest/detain in Australia2026-05-31
- CRITICALImpose sanctions in Western Australia, Australia2026-05-31
- CRITICALImpose sanctions in Western Australia, Australia2026-05-31
- CRITICALChemical weapons used in Australia2026-05-30
- HIGHMilitary force (coercive) in Australia2026-05-30
- CRITICALActive wildfire cluster in AU (1499 detections)2026-05-30
- HIGHArrest/detain in Australia2026-05-30
- CRITICALEconomic blockade in Australia2026-05-29
- CRITICALChemical weapons used in Australian Capital Territory, Australia2026-05-29
- CRITICALEconomic blockade in Victoria, Australia2026-05-29
- CRITICALActive wildfire cluster in AU (2149 detections)2026-05-29
- CRITICALActive wildfire cluster in AU (4023 detections)2026-05-28
- HIGHDemonstration/rally in Australia2026-05-27
- HIGHArrest/detain in Victoria, Australia2026-05-27
- CRITICALActive wildfire cluster in AU (2254 detections)2026-05-27
Related News (30)
- Accor Boosts Franchise Growth at Pacific Conferencetraveldailymedia.com·2026-06-02
Arrest/detain reported in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: NEW ZEALAND, AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Getaway Driver For Drug Dealers Killer Avoids Further Time in Jailwesternadvocate.com.au·2026-06-01
Use conventional military force reported in Dubbo, New South Wales, Australia. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Countryfiles Adam Henson Leaving Farm Wifeexpress.co.uk·2026-05-31
Impose sanctions reported in Perth, Western Australia, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -7 · 4 sources.
- Fbi Hunts Wanted Neighbor Next Door Allegedly Faked Cancer Scammed Loved Ones Luxury Getawaysfoxnews.com·2026-05-31
Arrest/detain reported in Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- i Tested 5 Supermarket Own Brand Milk Chocolate Bars Against Cadbury Dairy Milkexpress.co.uk·2026-05-31
Military force (coercive) reported in Morrisons, Victoria, Australia. Actors: TESCO, AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 3 sources.
- University Queensland One Nation Far Rightdailymail.com·2026-05-30
Arrest/detain reported in Australia. Actors: QUEENSLAND, ACTIVIST. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 5 sources.
- Teen Social Media Ban Not Working According to Nine Readers9news.com.au·2026-05-30
Military force (coercive) reported in Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA, MEDIA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Bank Fees Cost Australians 4 Billion Last Financial Year9news.com.au·2026-05-30
Chemical weapons used reported in Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIAN, BANK. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Man Charged Following Belconnen Shooting2cc.net.au·2026-05-29
Chemical weapons used reported in Belconnen, Australian Capital Territory, Australia. Actors: POLICE, AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Country Crooners Serious Shredders And Indie Darings Make Their Way to The Espy This Junebeat.com.au·2026-05-29
Economic blockade reported in Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. Tension (Goldstein): -9.5 · 8 sources.
- Salon Secrets Exposed Expert Warns Against Oversharing Affairs Family Drama And Trauma in Beauty Chairsprwire.com.au·2026-05-29
Economic blockade reported in Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -9.5 · 3 sources.
- City of Vincent Push to Ban Junk Food Alcohol And Gambling Ads From Bus Shelters cperthnow.com.au·2026-05-27
Military force (coercive) reported in Perth, Western Australia, Australia. Actors: PERTH. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 7 sources.
- Birds Eye Surveillance on Seasmiragenews.com·2026-05-27
Demonstration/rally reported in Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 6 sources.
- Housing Minister Tightlipped on Threat of Isislinked Australians After Return From Syriacairnspost.com.au·2026-05-27
Arrest/detain reported in Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIAN, AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 8 sources.
- Western Sydney Man Guilty of Love Triangle Murder cperthnow.com.au·2026-05-27
Use conventional military force reported in Nepean River, New South Wales, Australia. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Australias Consumer Watchdog Slaps Ban on Potentially Deadly Baby Bottle Self Feeding Devices cperthnow.com.au·2026-05-27
Military force (coercive) reported in Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- How Australia Social Media Ban Working T7xpwq2n9thetimes.com·2026-05-26
Military force (coercive) reported in Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA, MEDIA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Dezi Freeman Two Arrested Following Investigation Into Murderscanberratimes.com.au·2026-05-26
Arrest/detain reported in Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia. Actors: POLICE, VICTORIA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 3 sources.
- Justin Hull Dylan Bausch Fined For Possessing Stolen Carstandard.net.au·2026-05-26
Military force (coercive) reported in Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- Brodie Jay Young Banned Two Years After 213 Bac Drivetheadvocate.com.au·2026-05-25
Arrest/detain reported in Yolla, Tasmania, Australia. Actors: MAGISTRATE, AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Coroner Liberty Sanger Hears Horrific Details of Porepunkah Officer Deathsbluemountainsgazette.com.au·2026-05-25
Chemical weapons used reported in Blue Mountains, Queensland, Australia. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Hanson Has no Solutions But She s Winning Over Younger Australians With One Simple Truth pptheage.com.au·2026-05-25
Demonstration/rally reported in Redbridge, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIAN. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 3 sources.
- What Weve Learned About Australias Biggest Manhuntbluemountainsgazette.com.au·2026-05-25
Use conventional military force reported in Porepunkah, Victoria, Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- t a Meteorite That Fell Near The Australian Town of Murchison in Was Found to Contain Grains of Stardust up to Around 7 Billion Years Old The Oldest Solid Material Ever Identifiedspacedaily.com·2026-05-25
Reduce diplomatic ties reported in Australia. Actors: VICTORIA, AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -4 · 5 sources.
- no Berlin Style Fracas But at Cannes The Politics Were on Screen And Off pcwatoday.com.au·2026-05-25
Demonstration/rally reported in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 4 sources.
- Australian Intelligence Chief Says Antisemitism Was Normalized And Left Unchecked Before Bondi Massacrethemedialine.org·2026-05-25
Use conventional military force reported in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: SYDNEY, IRAN. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Mantel Glean Partner to Expand Work ai in Regionitbrief.co.nz·2026-05-25
Economic blockade reported in Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. Actors: NEW ZEALAND, AUSTRALIA. Tension (Goldstein): -9.5 · 10 sources.
- Dramatic Footage Captures Moment Rescue Crews Winch Rock Climber to Safety After Horror 8m Fall From Mount Buffalo in Victoria cperthnow.com.au·2026-05-25
Physical attack reported in Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. Actors: BUFFALO, VICTORIA. Tension (Goldstein): -9.5 · 6 sources.
- Australians From Gaza Flotilla Recount Torture Sexual Abusearticle.wn.com·2026-05-25
Assault reported in Australia. Actors: AUSTRALIA, ISRAEL. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 4 sources.
- Demonstration/rally in New South Wales, Australiaonlineopinion.com.au·2026-05-25
Demonstration/rally reported in Bondi Beach, New South Wales, Australia. Actors: SYDNEY, ISRAELI. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 3 sources.