이라크
Iraq (IQ)CRITICALMiddle East · 인구 45,500,000 · GDP 264,182 M USD
이 점수는 왜? · 30일 리스크를 움직인 이벤트 20건 중 Top 3
주요 산업
주요 수출품
30일 이벤트
AI 브리핑
현재 상황
이라크의 공급망 리스크 프로필은 지난 30일간 급격히 악화되었으며, 군사 작전 및 보안 사건을 중심으로 4건의 중대 및 고위험도 사건이 집중되었습니다. 디카르 주의 핵 경보와 재래식 군사력 배치는 가장 심각한 상황 악화를 나타내며, 정치적 안정성이 100점 만점에 1점에 불과한 이라크의 이미 취약한 거버넌스 지표를 더욱 악화시키고 있습니다. 이러한 상황 전개는 에너지 인프라와 수출 터미널에 대한 운영 리스크 증가를 시사합니다.
공급망 영향
- 원유 수출이 즉각적인 중단 위험에 직면했으며, 이라크는 주로 바스라 인근 남부 수출 터미널과 터키를 경유하는 북부 파이프라인을 통해 전 세계 원유 생산량의 약 4-5%를 공급하고 있습니다.
- 아시아 정제업체들, 특히 중국, 인도, 일본이 취약한 페르시아 만 해상 운송로를 통해 이라크 원유의 약 60%를 수입하고 있어 가장 큰 영향을 받을 것으로 예상됩니다.
- 지역 석유제품 유통이 중단될 수 있어 중동 회랑 전역의 석유화학, 플라스틱 제조업, 항공 연료 공급 등 하류 산업에 영향을 미칠 수 있습니다.
- 이라크를 경유하여 유럽과 아시아를 연결하는 육상 운송 경로에서 지연이나 우회가 발생하여 제조품과 소비재의 육상 물류에 영향을 미칠 수 있습니다.
모니터링 포인트
- 바스라의 이라크 남부 원유 수출 터미널과 해상 플랫폼, 그리고 이라크-터키 파이프라인 시스템의 운영 중단이나 보안 사건 발생 상황을 모니터링하세요.
- 추가 군사력 배치, 인프라 공격, 또는 디카르 주를 넘어선 보안 작전의 지리적 범위 확대 등 상황 악화 지표를 추적하세요.
- 주요 소비국의 전략석유비축 긴급 방출을 주시하세요. 이는 장기간의 공급 중단에 대한 시장의 기대를 시사할 수 있습니다.
레이어별 리스크
90일 리스크 추이
구조적 리스크 프로파일
생산 원자재
의존 초크포인트
최근 이벤트 (20)
- CRITICALBaghdad, Iraq — 계엄/통금2026-05-30
- HIGHIraq — 시위/집회2026-05-28
- CRITICALIraq — 군사적 무력 사용2026-05-24
- CRITICALIraq — 군사적 무력 사용2026-05-24
- CRITICALIraq — 핵 대비 태세2026-05-23
- HIGHBaghdad, Iraq — 체포/구금2026-05-23
- CRITICALBaghdad, Iraq — 암살2026-05-23
- CRITICALLiwa' Irbil, Iraq — 군 병력 증강2026-05-22
- CRITICALLiwa' Irbil, Iraq — 군 병력 증강2026-05-22
- CRITICALAl Basrah, Iraq — 군사적 무력 사용2026-05-22
- CRITICALBaghdad, Iraq — 화학무기 사용2026-05-22
- CRITICALBaghdad, Iraq — 군사적 무력 사용2026-05-22
- CRITICALDahuk, Iraq — 폭탄 공격2026-05-22
- CRITICALIraq — 군사적 무력 사용2026-05-22
- CRITICALAl Basrah, Iraq — 군사적 무력 사용2026-05-22
- CRITICALIraq — 경제 봉쇄2026-05-18
- HIGHIraq — 체포/구금2026-05-17
- CRITICALIraq — 외교 관계 악화2026-05-17
- CRITICALIraq — 군사적 무력 사용2026-05-16
- CRITICALIraq — 군사적 무력 사용2026-05-16
관련 뉴스 (30)
- Blockade Bolster Iranianjuancole.com·2026-05-30
Curfew/martial law reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: BAGHDAD. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 10 sources.
- Demonstration/rally in Iraqcity.udn.com·2026-05-28
Demonstration/rally reported in Iraq. Actors: SAUDI ARABIA, IRAQI. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 8 sources.
- Iran Recounts Historic Battles in Response to Trumps Talk of Agreementaljazeera.com·2026-05-24
Use conventional military force reported in Iraq. Actors: IRAN, IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- we Need to Kill Ivanka Who is Mohammad Baqer Saad Dawood al Saadi Iraqi Commander Targeted President Trumps Daughter to Avenge The Killing of Qasem Soleimanieconomictimes.indiatimes.com·2026-05-23
Assassination reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: IRAQ, ISLAMIC. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Nuclear alert in Iraqjpost.com·2026-05-23
Nuclear alert reported in Iraq. Actors: THE US, IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -7.2 · 8 sources.
- Trade Unions Mass Organisations And Left Historical Necessity Reassessment And Renewallinks.org.au·2026-05-22
Troop buildup reported in Erbil, Liwa' Irbil, Iraq. Actors: IRAQ, KURDISTAN. Tension (Goldstein): -7.2 · 10 sources.
- Mohamed Fahmy How Iraq Became Irans Launch Point For Terrorismnationalpost.com·2026-05-22
Bomb attack reported in Barakah, Dahuk, Iraq. Actors: IRAN, IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Iraq War Medic Battled Savemirror.co.uk·2026-05-22
Use conventional military force reported in Shaibah, Al Basrah, Iraq. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- 5 Things Poppy Wall House Passes Bills Faithstripes.com·2026-05-22
Use conventional military force reported in Iraq. Actors: IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 5 sources.
- Isis Leader Killed in Nigeria During Joint us Operationchristianpost.com·2026-05-18
Economic blockade reported in Iraq. Actors: IRAQI, ISLAMIC. Tension (Goldstein): -9.5 · 3 sources.
- Second Secret Base Report Claims Israel Built Another Covert Military Site in Iraqi Deserttheyeshivaworld.com·2026-05-17
Reduce relations reported in Iraq. Actors: ISRAELI, IRAQI. Tension (Goldstein): -7 · 3 sources.
- How Fears of Iranian Proxy Attacks Outside The Middle East Are Growing After New us Terror Charges Articlemoneycontrol.com·2026-05-17
Arrest/detain reported in Iraq. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 8 sources.
- Who is The Iraqi Man Charged With Terror Plots From London to New Yorkthenationalnews.com·2026-05-16
Use conventional military force reported in Iraq. Actors: IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 5 sources.
- New York Charges Iraqi Man Over Alleged Terror Plot Targeting Synagoguethenationalnews.com·2026-05-16
Use conventional military force reported in Iraq. Actors: IRAQ, MILITARY. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- Militia Commander Tied to Iran is Charged With Plotting Attacks in u sseattletimes.com·2026-05-16
Use conventional military force reported in Iraq. Actors: ARMY, IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- us Says Iran Backed Militia Commander Planned Jewish Site Attacksal-monitor.com·2026-05-15
Use conventional military force reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: THE US, IRAQI. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 20 sources.
- Arrest/detain in Baghdad, Iraqarabnews.com·2026-05-15
Arrest/detain reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: TURKIYE, IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 3 sources.
- Iraq Striving Recover Plundered Antiquitieseturbonews.com·2026-05-15
Reduce diplomatic ties reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: IRAQ, AMERICAN. Tension (Goldstein): -4 · 5 sources.
- Iraq Forms New Government With Only 14 of 23 Ministerslongwarjournal.org·2026-05-15
Use conventional military force reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: UNITED STATES, IRAQI. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 3 sources.
- Iraqi National With Suspected Ties to Hezbollah Wanted to Bomb ny Synagogue in Retaliation For Iran War Docsnypost.com·2026-05-15
Arrest/detain reported in Iraq. Actors: EUROPE, IRAQI. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Atonement Review Boyd Holbrook Hiam Abbass Kenneth Branaghhollywoodreporter.com·2026-05-15
Chemical weapons used reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: IRAQ, JORDAN. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Why Trump Decided to Back Iraqs Prime Minister Designate Ali al Zaidimiddleeastmonitor.com·2026-05-14
Military force (coercive) reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: BANK, IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 7 sources.
- Senoia to Mark Americas 250th Anniversary With Memorial Day Remembrance Ceremonythecitizen.com·2026-05-13
Use conventional military force reported in Iraq. Actors: CHINOOK, IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- Saudi Warplanes Struck Militias in Iraq During War Sources Say Ce7f5bdcdd80f724marketscreener.com·2026-05-13
Bomb attack reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: IRAQI, KUWAITI. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 3 sources.
- Saudi Arabia Launched Covert Attacks on Iran as Regional War Widened Sources Ce7f5bded08bf62dmarketscreener.com·2026-05-12
Demonstration/rally reported in Iraq. Actors: SAUDI ARABIA, IRAQI. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 8 sources.
- Iraqi Authorities Make Late Admission Makeshift Israeli Base Desertenglish.aawsat.com·2026-05-12
Use conventional military force reported in Najaf, An Najaf, Iraq. Actors: IRAQI, FIGHTER. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- a Secret Israeli Base in Iraq What we Knowaljazeera.com·2026-05-12
Arrest/detain reported in Najaf, An Najaf, Iraq. Actors: IRAN, IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 8 sources.
- Memorial 5k in Ballinger to Honor Fallen Soldier William Justin Bylerkrunam.com·2026-05-11
Use conventional military force reported in Iraq. Actors: IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 6 sources.
- Two Isis Women Face Slavery Charges Amid Yazidi Allegationsabc.net.au·2026-05-08
Unconventional violence reported in Sarab, As Sulaymaniyah, Iraq. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 8 sources.
- Iraq Treasury01globalsecurity.org·2026-05-08
Use conventional military force reported in Sayyid, Sala? ad Din, Iraq. Actors: IRAQ, SYRIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 6 sources.