이집트
Egypt (EG)CRITICALNorth Africa · 인구 112,720,000 · GDP 378,107 M USD
이 점수는 왜? · 30일 리스크를 움직인 이벤트 20건 중 Top 3
주요 산업
주요 수출품
30일 이벤트
AI 브리핑
현재 상황
이집트는 지난 30일간 24건의 사건으로 심각한 운영 차질을 겪고 있으며, 이 중 12건의 중대 사건이 군사 행동과 경제 봉쇄를 중심으로 집중되었습니다. 상황은 4월 16-18일 급격히 악화되었으며, 재래식 군사력 배치와 경제 봉쇄가 카이로, 수에즈 운하 지역, 북시나이에 영향을 미쳤습니다. 이는 이미 취약했던 이집트의 거버넌스 지표에서 극적인 악화를 나타냅니다.
공급망 영향
- 수에즈(As Suways) 지역의 군사 행동으로 수에즈 운하 통항 운영이 극도의 위험에 처해 있으며, 전 세계 무역의 12%를 처리하고 아시아-유럽 항로를 연결하는 이 수로가 위협받고 있습니다.
- 홍해-지중해 항로에 의존하는 유럽과 아시아 제조업체들은 아프리카 우회 항로로 인해 컨테이너 운송에 10-14일이 추가되고 상당한 연료비용이 발생할 가능성에 직면해 있습니다.
- 이집트의 주요 상업 허브이자 물류 중심지인 카이로의 봉쇄로 유럽과 북미로의 이집트 섬유 및 면화 수출이 심각하게 차질을 빚고 있습니다.
- 이집트의 천연가스와 원유 수출이 운영상 제약을 받으면서 에너지 공급망이 위협받고 있으며, 특히 러시아 에너지의 대안을 모색하는 유럽 구매자들에게 영향을 미치고 있습니다.
- 홍해 연안의 관광 의존적 리조트들이 방문객 취소를 경험할 수 있어 접객업 공급망과 계절 고용에 영향을 미치고 있습니다.
모니터링 포인트
- 수에즈 운하 당국의 성명과 선박 통항 데이터를 모니터링하여 운하 폐쇄나 통항 제한 여부를 확인하고, 이는 즉시 컨테이너 운송 우회를 유발할 것입니다.
- 카이로와 북시나이의 상황 악화를 추적하여 이집트 북부 산업 지역과 가자 국경 통과점에 대한 지리적 영향 확산을 감시해야 합니다.
- 운영 환경을 신속히 완화시킬 수 있는 국제 외교적 개입이나 휴전 발표를 주의 깊게 살펴봐야 합니다.
레이어별 리스크
90일 리스크 추이
구조적 리스크 프로파일
강제·아동노동 생산 품목 (US DoL 2024)
생산 원자재
의존 초크포인트
최근 이벤트 (20)
- HIGHAl Bu?ayrah, Egypt — 체포/구금2026-06-02
- HIGHEgypt — 체포/구금2026-06-02
- HIGHAl Iskandariyah, Egypt — 군사적 무력 사용2026-05-30
- HIGHAl Iskandariyah, Egypt — 체포/구금2026-05-28
- HIGHAl Iskandariyah, Egypt — 체포/구금2026-05-22
- CRITICALAl Iskandariyah, Egypt — 폭력 사태2026-05-22
- HIGHAl Iskandariyah, Egypt — 체포/구금2026-05-22
- CRITICALEgypt — 비정규 폭력2026-05-20
- CRITICALEgypt — 비정규 폭력2026-05-20
- CRITICALEgypt — 폭력 행위2026-05-20
- CRITICALAl Iskandariyah, Egypt — 군사적 무력 사용2026-05-19
- HIGHEgypt — 체포/구금2026-05-19
- CRITICALAl Iskandariyah, Egypt — 군사적 무력 사용2026-05-19
- CRITICALAl Iskandariyah, Egypt — 화학무기 사용2026-05-18
- CRITICALAl Iskandariyah, Egypt — 화학무기 사용2026-05-18
- CRITICALAl Iskandariyah, Egypt — 화학무기 사용2026-05-18
- CRITICALAl Iskandariyah, Egypt — 폭력 사태2026-05-18
- CRITICALAl Iskandariyah, Egypt — 화학무기 사용2026-05-18
- CRITICALAl Qahirah, Egypt — 폭력 사태2026-05-18
- HIGHAl Qahirah, Egypt — 체포/구금2026-05-17
관련 뉴스 (29)
- Prosecution Urges Court to Uphold 10 Year Sentence For Elderly School Worker in Child Abuse Caseegyptindependent.com·2026-06-02
Arrest/detain reported in Damanhour, Al Bu?ayrah, Egypt. Actors: EGYPT, PRISON. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 8 sources.
- Oman Threatens Deportation Egyptian Woman And Newborn Baby Days After Giving Birthmiddleeasteye.net·2026-06-02
Arrest/detain reported in Egypt. Actors: EGYPT, OMANI. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Oakdale Businessman Former Cenla Law Enforcement Plead Guilty Immigration Fraud Schemekalb.com·2026-05-30
Military force (coercive) reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Woman Accused of Stealing 45m From Employer Indicted in Alexandria Sharon Lee Loudoun County Embezzlement Invictuswset.com·2026-05-28
Arrest/detain reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: EGYPT, EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Alexandria Man Sentenced For Felony Child Tortureechopress.com·2026-05-22
Assault reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: ALEXANDRIA. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 5 sources.
- 10 Million Ransom Somali Pirates Kidnapalbawaba.com·2026-05-20
Assault reported in Egypt. Actors: SOMALI, EGYPTIAN. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 3 sources.
- Breaking Benjamin Returns to Europe For First Shows Since With Chevellewrif.com·2026-05-19
Use conventional military force reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 6 sources.
- The Thing Between The Wall And my Body Doumathebaffler.com·2026-05-19
Arrest/detain reported in Egypt. Actors: EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- 3 Adults Accused Rape Sexual Offenses Involving Juvenileskalb.com·2026-05-18
Assault reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 4 sources.
- Alexandria Police Shoot Man Suspected of Killing Woman Inside Apartmentnbcwashington.com·2026-05-18
Chemical weapons used reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: ALEXANDRIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 6 sources.
- Alexandria Officereinvolved Shooting Under Investigationfox5dc.com·2026-05-18
Chemical weapons used reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: ALEXANDRIA, GUNMAN. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Neighbors Heard Fighting For Months Before Deadly Alexandria Shooting Involving Policewusa9.com·2026-05-18
Chemical weapons used reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: ALEXANDRIA, POLICE. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Family Protest Over el Rufais Detention by Sss Healthcare Access Icpc Speakspremiumtimesng.com·2026-05-18
Assault reported in Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt. Actors: DIRECTOR GENERAL, EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 3 sources.
- Egypt Condemns Drone Attack Near Uaes Barakah Nuclear Power Plantemirates247.com·2026-05-17
Tank/artillery attack reported in Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt. Actors: CAIRO, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- a Drone Strike Causes Fire Outside a Nuclear Power Plant in Abu Dhabiksat.com·2026-05-17
Use conventional military force reported in Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt. Actors: CAIRO. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- Horrible Histories Crafty Cleopatra Specialtvguide.co.uk·2026-05-17
Use conventional military force reported in Egypt. Actors: EGYPTIAN. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 14 sources.
- Egyptian Lawyer Sues Netflix For Depicting Queen Cleopatra as Black Mahmoud al Semary African Queens Jada Pinkett Smithsiouxlandnews.com·2026-05-17
Arrest/detain reported in Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt. Actors: EGYPTIAN, NETFLIX. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- The Replacement Apostle st Matthiasaleteia.org·2026-05-15
Use conventional military force reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: ALEXANDRIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 3 sources.
- Article South Africa Anti Migrant Protests Backlashtheglobeandmail.com·2026-05-15
Expel/deport reported in Egypt. Actors: EGYPT, SUDANESE. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- Economic blockade in Egyptallafrica.com·2026-05-14
Economic blockade reported in Egypt. Actors: EGYPTIAN, INTELLIGENCE. Tension (Goldstein): -9.5 · 3 sources.
- Advocate Says Sentence of Egyptian Coptic Scholar Has Created a Chilling Effect on Christianscruxnow.com·2026-05-14
Arrest/detain reported in Egypt. Actors: EGYPT, MEDIA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Alexandria Art Guild Names May Artist of The Month Jean Schonbergechopress.com·2026-05-12
Arrest/detain reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 7 sources.
- Neighbor Charged in Extremely Violent Murder of Alexandria Woman With Down Syndromenbcwashington.com·2026-05-11
Arrest/detain reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: JUDGE, EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Arrest/detain in Al Qahirah, Egyptenglish.news.cn·2026-05-10
Arrest/detain reported in Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt. Actors: MINISTRY, EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- First us Press Conference After us Embassy Reopening Cairoeturbonews.com·2026-05-08
Demonstration/rally reported in Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt. Actors: EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 10 sources.
- Article Ecb 3be4 44bf 8d4e 999cbeb43c59nola.com·2026-05-08
Arrest/detain reported in Kairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt. Actors: EGYPT, ORLEANS. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- Alexandria Woman is Injured in a Crash Near Benson on Tuesdayvoiceofalexandria.com·2026-05-06
Physical attack reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: UNITED STATES, EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -9.5 · 6 sources.
- Three Chimpanzees Seized at Cairo Airport During Smuggling Attemptcairoscene.com·2026-05-04
Arrest/detain reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: EGYPTIAN. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 8 sources.
- Everything is Gone Alexandria House Fire Leaves Family Displacedkalb.com·2026-05-04
Legal detention reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: ALEXANDRIA. Tension (Goldstein): -9.2 · 10 sources.