[Afghanistan] Use conventional military force — VICTORIA → DETAINEE

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary A military force incident occurred in Afghanistan on April 17, 2026, but the specific location and scale have not been confirmed. Information is limited to a single media report, making it difficult to assess direct supply-chain impact at this time.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Potential risk factor for mineral resource (rare earths, lithium, copper, etc.) mining activities within Afghanistan
• Possible increased security risks when utilizing Central Asia-South Asia overland transport routes
• Concerns about indirect impact on logistics networks via neighboring Pakistan and Iran
• At the current stage, direct impact on global supply chains is assessed as limited

3) Watch points

• Need to gather additional information on the specific location, scale, and parties involved in the incident
• Monitor operational status of Afghanistan's major mineral mining areas and transport infrastructure
• Confirm whether neighboring countries have strengthened border controls or logistics transport delays have occurred