イラク
Iraq (IQ)CRITICALMiddle East · 人口 45,500,000 · GDP 264,182 百万USD
このスコアの根拠 · 30日間のリスクを動かしたイベント20件のうちTop 3
主要産業
主要輸出品
30日事象
AIブリーフ
現況
イラクのサプライチェーンリスクプロファイルは過去30日間で急激に悪化し、軍事作戦と治安事案を中心とした4件の重大および高深刻度事象が集中している。ディーカール県での核警報と通常軍事力の展開が最も深刻なエスカレーションを示しており、政治的安定性がわずか1/100という既に脆弱なイラクのガバナンス指標を悪化させている。これらの展開は、エネルギーインフラと輸出ターミナルに対する運営リスクの高まりを示している。
サプライチェーンへの影響
- 原油輸出は即座の混乱リスクに直面しており、イラクは主にバスラ近郊の南部輸出ターミナルとトルコ経由の北部パイプラインを通じて世界石油生産量の約4-5%を供給している。
- アジアの製油業者、特に中国、インド、日本が最も影響を受けやすく、脆弱なペルシャ湾航路を通じてイラク産原油の約60%を輸入している。
- 地域の石油製品フローが混乱し、中東回廊全体の石油化学、プラスチック製造、航空燃料供給を含む川下産業に影響を与える可能性がある。
- イラクを経由してヨーロッパとアジアを結ぶ陸上輸送ルートが遅延や迂回を経験し、製造品と消費財の陸上物流に影響を与える可能性がある。
注視ポイント
- バスラのイラク南部石油輸出ターミナルと海上プラットフォーム、およびイラク・トルコパイプラインシステムの運営混乱や治安事案の状況を監視する。
- 追加軍事展開、インフラ攻撃、またはディーカール県を超えた治安作戦の地理的範囲拡大を含むエスカレーション指標を追跡する。
- 主要消費国による戦略石油備蓄からの緊急放出を注視する。これは長期的な供給混乱に対する市場の予想を示す可能性がある。
レイヤー別リスク
90日間リスク推移
構造的リスクプロファイル
生産商品
依存チョークポイント
最近の事象（20）
- CRITICALバグダード、イラクにおける戒厳令2026-05-30
- HIGHイラクでのデモ/集会2026-05-28
- CRITICALイラクにおける通常の軍事力の使用2026-05-24
- CRITICALイラクにおける通常の軍事力の使用2026-05-24
- CRITICALイラクの原子力警報2026-05-23
- HIGHバグダードで逮捕/拘束、イラク2026-05-23
- CRITICALバグダードの暗殺事件、イラク2026-05-23
- CRITICALイラクのリワ・エルビルにおける軍備増強2026-05-22
- CRITICALTroop buildup in Liwa' Irbil, Iraq2026-05-22
- CRITICALイラクのバスラで通常の軍事力を使用する2026-05-22
- CRITICALChemical weapons used in Baghdad, Iraq2026-05-22
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in Baghdad, Iraq2026-05-22
- CRITICALBomb attack in Dahuk, Iraq2026-05-22
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in Iraq2026-05-22
- CRITICALイラクのバスラで通常の軍事力を使用する2026-05-22
- CRITICALイラクの経済封鎖2026-05-18
- HIGHイラクでの逮捕・拘留2026-05-17
- CRITICALイラクにおける関係削減2026-05-17
- CRITICALイラクにおける通常兵力2026-05-16
- CRITICALイラク軍事力2026-05-16
関連ニュース (30)
- Blockade Bolster Iranianjuancole.com·2026-05-30
Curfew/martial law reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: BAGHDAD. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 10 sources.
- Demonstration/rally in Iraqcity.udn.com·2026-05-28
Demonstration/rally reported in Iraq. Actors: SAUDI ARABIA, IRAQI. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 8 sources.
- Iran Recounts Historic Battles in Response to Trumps Talk of Agreementaljazeera.com·2026-05-24
Use conventional military force reported in Iraq. Actors: IRAQ, IRAN. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- we Need to Kill Ivanka Who is Mohammad Baqer Saad Dawood al Saadi Iraqi Commander Targeted President Trumps Daughter to Avenge The Killing of Qasem Soleimanieconomictimes.indiatimes.com·2026-05-23
Assassination reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: IRAQ, ISLAMIC. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Nuclear alert in Iraqjpost.com·2026-05-23
Nuclear alert reported in Iraq. Actors: THE US, IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -7.2 · 8 sources.
- Trade Unions Mass Organisations And Left Historical Necessity Reassessment And Renewallinks.org.au·2026-05-22
Troop buildup reported in Erbil, Liwa' Irbil, Iraq. Actors: KURDISTAN, IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -7.2 · 10 sources.
- Mohamed Fahmy How Iraq Became Irans Launch Point For Terrorismnationalpost.com·2026-05-22
Bomb attack reported in Barakah, Dahuk, Iraq. Actors: IRAN, IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Iraq War Medic Battled Savemirror.co.uk·2026-05-22
Use conventional military force reported in Shaibah, Al Basrah, Iraq. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- 5 Things Poppy Wall House Passes Bills Faithstripes.com·2026-05-22
Use conventional military force reported in Iraq. Actors: IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 5 sources.
- Isis Leader Killed in Nigeria During Joint us Operationchristianpost.com·2026-05-18
Economic blockade reported in Iraq. Actors: IRAQI, ISLAMIC. Tension (Goldstein): -9.5 · 3 sources.
- Second Secret Base Report Claims Israel Built Another Covert Military Site in Iraqi Deserttheyeshivaworld.com·2026-05-17
Reduce relations reported in Iraq. Actors: ISRAELI, IRAQI. Tension (Goldstein): -7 · 3 sources.
- How Fears of Iranian Proxy Attacks Outside The Middle East Are Growing After New us Terror Charges Articlemoneycontrol.com·2026-05-17
Arrest/detain reported in Iraq. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 8 sources.
- Who is The Iraqi Man Charged With Terror Plots From London to New Yorkthenationalnews.com·2026-05-16
Use conventional military force reported in Iraq. Actors: IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 5 sources.
- New York Charges Iraqi Man Over Alleged Terror Plot Targeting Synagoguethenationalnews.com·2026-05-16
Use conventional military force reported in Iraq. Actors: IRAQ, MILITARY. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- Militia Commander Tied to Iran is Charged With Plotting Attacks in u sseattletimes.com·2026-05-16
Use conventional military force reported in Iraq. Actors: ARMY, IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- us Says Iran Backed Militia Commander Planned Jewish Site Attacksal-monitor.com·2026-05-15
Use conventional military force reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: THE US, IRAQI. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 20 sources.
- Arrest/detain in Baghdad, Iraqarabnews.com·2026-05-15
Arrest/detain reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: TURKIYE, IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 3 sources.
- Iraq Striving Recover Plundered Antiquitieseturbonews.com·2026-05-15
Reduce diplomatic ties reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: IRAQ, AMERICAN. Tension (Goldstein): -4 · 5 sources.
- Iraq Forms New Government With Only 14 of 23 Ministerslongwarjournal.org·2026-05-15
Use conventional military force reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: UNITED STATES, IRAQI. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 3 sources.
- Iraqi National With Suspected Ties to Hezbollah Wanted to Bomb ny Synagogue in Retaliation For Iran War Docsnypost.com·2026-05-15
Arrest/detain reported in Iraq. Actors: EUROPE, IRAQI. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Atonement Review Boyd Holbrook Hiam Abbass Kenneth Branaghhollywoodreporter.com·2026-05-15
Chemical weapons used reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: IRAQ, JORDAN. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Why Trump Decided to Back Iraqs Prime Minister Designate Ali al Zaidimiddleeastmonitor.com·2026-05-14
Military force (coercive) reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: BANK, IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 7 sources.
- Senoia to Mark Americas 250th Anniversary With Memorial Day Remembrance Ceremonythecitizen.com·2026-05-13
Use conventional military force reported in Iraq. Actors: CHINOOK, IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- Saudi Warplanes Struck Militias in Iraq During War Sources Say Ce7f5bdcdd80f724marketscreener.com·2026-05-13
Bomb attack reported in Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. Actors: IRAQI, KUWAITI. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 3 sources.
- Saudi Arabia Launched Covert Attacks on Iran as Regional War Widened Sources Ce7f5bded08bf62dmarketscreener.com·2026-05-12
Demonstration/rally reported in Iraq. Actors: SAUDI ARABIA, IRAQI. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 8 sources.
- Iraqi Authorities Make Late Admission Makeshift Israeli Base Desertenglish.aawsat.com·2026-05-12
Use conventional military force reported in Najaf, An Najaf, Iraq. Actors: IRAQI, FIGHTER. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- a Secret Israeli Base in Iraq What we Knowaljazeera.com·2026-05-12
Arrest/detain reported in Najaf, An Najaf, Iraq. Actors: IRAN, IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 8 sources.
- Memorial 5k in Ballinger to Honor Fallen Soldier William Justin Bylerkrunam.com·2026-05-11
Use conventional military force reported in Iraq. Actors: IRAQ. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 6 sources.
- Two Isis Women Face Slavery Charges Amid Yazidi Allegationsabc.net.au·2026-05-08
Unconventional violence reported in Sarab, As Sulaymaniyah, Iraq. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 8 sources.
- Iraq Treasury01globalsecurity.org·2026-05-08
Use conventional military force reported in Sayyid, Sala? ad Din, Iraq. Actors: IRAQ, SYRIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 6 sources.